Errors and secondary information concerning the 1934 Nepal earthquake

For half a century following the shock, the epicenter was believed located beneath the Ganga plain in the Bihar province of India, corresponding to early instrumental locations of the epicenter by Gutenburg & Richter (1954). For this reason the earthquake appears on many maps in the the wrong location (almost 200 km too far south).The reason for this was partly due to its misleading early instrumental location, partly due to the sedimentary basin amplification of seismic waves south of the epicenter, which resulted in massive damage near the Ganges, and partly due to the exclusion of foreigners from Nepal (1815 to 1950) which lead to much of the damage in Nepal in not being recognized.

Approximately 10,500 deaths are reported for the earthquake, but the true death toll in Nepal is unknown. Brett (1935) reported 7253 deaths in Bihar.After the earthquake John Auden (brother of the poet laureat W.H. Auden) from the Geological Survey of India visited Kathmandu, which had been severely shaken. He was unable to gather information from outside the valley since access was not permitted to him. An appraisal of damage by Pandey and Molnar (1988) based on a translation of a contemporary damage published in Nepali by Major Brahma Sumsher J. B. Rana (1935) indicates that severe shaking occurred in eastern Nepal. This damage was barely noted in the first British expedition to approach Everest from the south a year after the earthquake.

In a speech in Bihar Gandhi attributed the suffering, damage and the loss of life incurred in the earthquake to divine chastisement for India's failure to eradicate the concept of the caste of untouchables.

stupa

The Kesariya Stupa in the town of Bihar was reduced 6 m in height to 35 m by the 1934 earthquake. When constructed c.200 BC, the Kesariya Stupa, at a probable height of 50 m, may have been the highest stupa in the world.

No precise geodetic measurements were in place across the 1934 rupture area due to Nepal's political isolation in 1850 when the Trigonometrical Survey of India was in progress. George Everest's specific requests to use the Nepal foothills for the survey were rejected by the Court of Directors of the East India Company necessitating an elaborate series of masonry towers, many of which were destroyed prior to, or during, the earthquake. Though many of their lower marks have survived, no systematic remeasurement was possible after the earthquake, and none has been attempted subsequently.

 

1934 Mw 8.1 Bihar/Nepal earthquake 15 January 1934

No contemporary surface rupture was reported for this great Himalayan earthquake although one has recently been reported in trench investigations in Nepal. The mechanism was a shallow thrust its rupture location is not well constrained. Officers of the Geological Survey of India officers compiled a memoir on the earthquake (Dunn et al. 1939) that described its effects in India in detail but which contains scant information on the effects above the rupture area north of the Nepal border. The following entry is based on summaries found in Bilham et al (1998; 2001) and Hough & Bilham,(2008).

The instrumentally relocated 1934 epicenter lies approximately 10 km south of Mt. Everest at 27.55 N, 87.09 E (Chen and Molnar 1977). These authors calculate a seismic moment of 1.1x10E28 dyne cm and a slip of 5.4m assuming a 130-50 sq km area rupture corresponding to Mw = 8.0. Ambraseys and Douglas (2004) calculate Mw 8.11 for the event corresponding to dimensions of 150x80 sq km and a slip of 5m. (latitude mislabeled 26 instead of 27 degN on this plot.

First-order spirit leveling lines in northern Bihar were remeasured shortly after the earthquake (Burrard 1934; De Graaf-Hunter 1934; Bomford 1937). Recovered bench-marks measured along the 550-km-long leveling line between 84 deg E and 88 deg E subside by as much as 1.1m near points that have subsided by less than 0.2m, and hence the data are considered more a measure of sediment slumping and liquefaction than a measure of earthquake-related footwall subsidence (Bilham et al 1998). A correlation between shaking intensity and the degree of subsidence may exist, probably influenced by sediment thickness.

Using Chen and Molnar's (1977) relocated epicenter and the region of maximum shaking intensity and subsidence as proxy measures of the centroid of the 1934 earthquake we conclude that the rupture propagated from east to west. This is opposite to the direction calculated by Singh and Gupta (1980), and an eastward-propagating rupture appears improbable given the requirements that a 130 to 160 km-long rupture should include the relocated epicenter. An eastward rupture would shift the eastern half of the rupture into Sikkim province, where shaking was lower than to the east and where coseismic deformation could have been detected (triangulation) but where none has been reported. Using the above reasoning we constrain the 1934 western edge of the Nepal rupture to 85.5 +/- 0.2 degrees East and its western edge to 87.0 +/- 0.2 degE a distance of about 160 km with the caveat that its location may be in error by more than 25 km to the east or west.

leveling

MSK intensity and bench-mark subsidence in northern India plotted versus longitude, compared to the epicentre determined by Chen and Molnar (1977). The 150-km line to its east is inferred to represent the most likely location for the rupture zone. The curve is least-squares fit of intensity is centered on this line, which corresponds to the region of maximum bench mark subsidence.

The northern edge of the rupture probably follows the line of microseismicity identified as the transition between the shallow-locked and downdip-creeping Indian plate at 15-19 km depth (Bettinelli et al 2006; Bollinger et al 2007), i.e. the locking line of Feldl and Bilham (2006). The southern edge reached the frontal thrusts near 86 deg east (Sapkota et al 2011).

Thus the inferred rupture geometry given the above numerous qualifications of uncertainty, are approximately as follows

corner lat deg long deg depth,km
SE 26.7 86.8 0
SW 27.1 85.3 0
NW 28.0 85.6 18
NE 27.5 87.1 18

Length 150 km (uncertainty 25 km)

Width 100 km (uncertainty 20 km)

Slip 4-6 m, 8<Mw8.2

seismicitySeismicity (from Avouac 2003), MSK intensities and inferred rupture for the 1934 Nepal/Bihar earthquake. Liquefaction occurrences have been ignored in this plot. Star indicates Chen and Molnar (1989) epicenter. The microseismicity in southern Nepal between 86 deg E and 87 deg E are mostly aftershocks of the deep Udaypur 1988 earthquake. Our preferred rupture is not well constrained but its SW corner corresponds to a change in strike of the Himalayan front from N110E to N90E near 87 deg E.The Bihar leveling lines (lower figure) show subsidence between Bagaha (Goruckpur) and Dinajpur (see earlier figure).

Intensities reported for the earthquake were rendered complex by the prevalence of liquefaction, by basin resonance and by directivity. These effects are discussed in detail by Hough and Bilham (2008). Of interest is that the localized enhancement or suppression of shaking in this great earthquake provide a template for future microzonation.

Liquefaction studies using trench excavations at locations known to have suffered liquefaction in 1934 (Sukhija et al., 2002) . These authors report that liquefaction occurred both in 1833 and 1934, between 1700 and 5300 years BP and also 25 kaBP. It is unlikely that these are the only times that the area was shaken and further similar studies are likely to be of great value.

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