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Peer-reviewed Publications


In press

Kay, J. E., Deser, C., Phillips, A., Mai, A., Hannay, C., Strand, G., Arblaster, J., Bates, S., Danabasoglu, G., Edwards, J., Holland, M. Kushner, P., Lamarque, J.-F., Lawrence, D., Lindsay, K., Middleton, A., Munoz, E., Neale, R., Oleson, K., Polvani, L., and M. Vertenstein (in press), The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,  doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00255.1.

Matus, A., L'Ecuyer, T., Kay, J. E., Hannay, C. and J-F Lamarque (in press), The role of clouds in modulating global aerosol direct effects in spaceborne active observations and the Community Earth System Model, J. Climate.

2015

Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E., Kay, J. E., and A. Jahn (2015), Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends, Nature Climate Change, 5, 86-89, doi:10.1038/nclimate2483. Press Release

2014

Kay, J. E., B. Medeiros, Y.-T. Hwang, A. Gettelman, J. Perket, and M. G. Flanner (2014), Processes controlling Southern Ocean shortwave climate feedbacks in CESM, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, doi:10.1002/2013GL058315.

English, J. M., Kay, J. E., Gettelman, A., Liu, X., Wang, Y., Zhang, Y. and H. Chepfer, (2014), Contributions of clouds, surface albedos, and mixed-phase ice nucleation schemes to Arctic radiation biases in CAM5, J. Climate, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00608.1

Palerme, C., Kay, J. E., Genthon, C., L'Ecuyer, T., Wood, N. B., and Claud, C. (2014), How much snow falls on the Antarctic ice sheet?, The Cryosphere, 8, 1577-1587, doi:10.5194/tc-8-1577-2014.

Perket, J., Flanner, M. G. and J. E. Kay (2014), Diagnosing Shortwave Cryosphere Radiative Effect and 21st Century Evolution in CESM, J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1002/2013JD021139

Tilmes, S., Lamarque, J.-F., Jahn, A., Kay, J. E. and M. Holland (2014), Can regional climate engineering save the summer Arctic sea ice?, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1002/2013GL058731

2013

Kay, J. E. and T. L'Ecuyer (2013), Observational constraints on Arctic Ocean clouds and radiative fluxes during the early 21st century, J. Geophys. Res, 118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50489.

Brady, E., Otto-Bliesner, B Kay, J. E., and N. Rosenbloom (2013), Sensitivity to Glacial Forcing in the CCSM4, J. Climate, 26, 1901–1925, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00416.1.

Gettelman, A., J. E. Kay, J. T. Fasullo (2013), Spatial Decomposition of Climate Feedbacks in the Community Earth System Model. J. Climate, 26, 3544–3561, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00497.1

Holland, M. M., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, J. Kay, and S. Vavrus (2013), Initial-value predictability of Antarctic sea ice in the Community Climate System Model 3, Geophys Res Lett., 40, 2121–2124, doi:10.1002/grl.50410.

Hurrell, J., Holland, M. M., Gent, P. R , Ghan, S., Kay, J. E., Kushner, P., Lamarque, J-F., Large, W., G., Lawrence, D., Lindsay, K., Lipscomb, W. H., Long, M., Mahowald, N., Marsh, D., Neale, R., Rasch, P., Vavrus, S., Vertenstein, M., Bader, D., Collins, W. D., Hack, J. J., Kiehl, J. and S. Marshll (2013), The Community Earth System Model: A Framework for Collaborative Research, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00121.1

Meehl, G., Washington, W. M., Arblaster, J. M., Hu, A., Teng, H., Kay, J. E., Gettelman, A., Lawrence, D. M., Sanderson, B. M., and W. G. Strand (2013), Climate change projections in CESM1(CAM5) compared to CCSM4, J. Climate, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00572.1

Sand, M., Berntsen, T. K., Kay, J. E., Lamarque, J. F., Seland, Ø., and A. Kirkevåg (2013), The Arctic response to remote and local forcing of black carbon, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 211-224, doi:10.5194/acp-13-211-2013.

2012

Kay, J. E., Holland, M. M., Bitz, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E.,Gettelman, A., Conley, A., and D. Bailey (2012), The influence of local feedbacks and northward heat transport on the equilibrium Arctic climate response to increased greenhouse gas forcing in coupled climate models, J. Climate, 25, 5433-5450, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00622.1

Kay, J. E., Hillman, B., Klein, S., Zhang, Y., Medeiros, B., Gettelman, G., Pincus, R., Eaton, B., Boyle, J., Marchand, R. and T. Ackerman (2012), Exposing global cloud biases in the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) using satellite observations and their corresponding instrument simulators, J. Climate, 25, 5190-5207, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00469.1

Cesana, G., Kay, J. E., Chepfer, H., English, J.M., and G. de Boer (2012), Ubiquitous low-level liquid-containing Arctic clouds: New observations and climate model constraints from CALIPSO-GOCCP, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L20804, doi:10.1029/2012GL053385.

Gettelman, A., Kay, J. E., and K. Shell (2012), The evolution of climate sensitivity and climate feedbacks in the Community Atmosphere Model, J. Climate, 25, 1453-1469, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00197.1

de Boer, G., Chapman, W., Kay, J. E., Medeiros, B., and M. D. Shupe (2012), A characterization of the present-day Arctic atmosphere in CCSM4, J. Climate, 25, 2676–2695, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00228.1

Jahn, A., K. Sterling, M.M. Holland, J.E. Kay, J.A. Maslanik, C.M. Bitz, D.A. Bailey, J. Stroeve, E.C. Hunke, W.H. Lipscomb, D.A. Pollak (2012), Late 20th century simulation of Arctic sea ice and ocean properties in the CCSM4, J. Climate, 25:5, 1431-1452, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00201.1.

Stroeve, J. C., Serreze, M. C., Holland, M.M., Kay, J. E., Meier, W., and A. P. Barrett (2012), The Arctic's rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: A research synthesis, Climatic Change, 110, 3-4, 1005-1027, doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0101-1

Bromwich, D. H., Nicolas, J. P., Hines, K., Kay, J. E., Key, E., Lazzara, M., Lubin, D. McFarquhar, G., Adams, N., Gorodetskaya, I., Grosvenor, D. P., Lachlan-Cope, T., and N. Van Lipzig (2012), Tropospheric clouds in Antarctica, Rev. Geophys., 50, RG1004, doi:10.1029/2011RG000363.

Jochum, M., Jahn, A., Peacock, S., Bailey, D., Fasullo, J., Kay, J. E., Levis, S. and B. Otto-Bliesner (2012), True to Milankovitch: Glacial Inception in the new Community Climate System Model, J. Climate, 25:7, 2226-2239, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00044.1

Raeder, K., Anderson, J. L., Collins, N., Hoar, T. J., Kay, J. E., Lauritzen, P. H., and R. Pincus (2012), DART/CAM: An Ensemble Data Assimilation System for CESM Atmospheric Models, J. Climate, 25, 6304–6317, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00395.1

2011

Kay, J. E., Holland, M. M., and A. Jahn (2011), Inter-annual to multi-decadal Arctic sea ice extent trends in a warming world, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L15708, doi:10.1029/2011GL048008 NSF press release, favorite media coverage including the quote "The Arctic's summer ice coverage could hold its ground or even bounce back slightly, even as global average temperatures rise. But like a Guns 'n' Roses tour, the comeback will be short lived and eventually doomed to disappear."

Kay, J. E., Raeder, K., Gettelman, A. and J. Anderson (2011), The boundary layer response to recent Arctic sea ice loss and implications for high-latitude climate feedbacks, J. Climate, 24, 428-447, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3651.1

Hwang, Y-T., Frierson, D. W., and J. E. Kay (2011), Coupling between Arctic feedbacks and changes in poleward energy transport, Geophys. Res. Lett.,38,L17704, doi:10.1029/2011GL048546

Medeiros, B., Deser, C. ,Tomas, R. A. and J. E. Kay (2011), Arctic inversion strength in climate models, J. Climate, 24, 4733-4740, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3968.1

2009

Kay, J. E. and A. Gettelman (2009), Cloud influence on and response to seasonal Arctic sea ice loss, J. Geophys. Res.,114,D18204, doi:10.1029/2009JD011773

Gettelman, A., P. H. Lauritzen, M. Park, and J. E. Kay (2009), Processes regulating short-lived species in the tropical tropopause layer, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D13303, doi:10.1029/2009JD011785

2008

Kay, J. E., L'Ecuyer, T., Gettelman, A., Stephens, G., and C. O'Dell (2008), The contribution of cloud and radiation anomalies to the 2007 Arctic sea ice extent minimum, Geophys. Res. Lett.,35,L08503, doi:10.1029/2008GL033451

Kay, J. E., and R. Wood (2008), Timescale analysis of aerosol sensitivity during homogeneous freezing and implications for upper tropospheric water vapor budgets, Geophys. Res. Lett.,35,L10809, doi:10.1029/2007GL032628

Pre-2008

Kay, J. E., Baker, M., and D. Hegg (2007), Physical controls on orographic cirrus inhomogeneity. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 3771-3781, doi:10.5194/acp-7-3771-2007.

Kay, J. E., Baker, M., and D. Hegg (2006), Microphysical and dynamical controls on cirrus cloud optical depth distributions, J. Geophys. Res.,111,D24205, doi:10.1029/2005JD006916

Kay, J. E., Tsemekhman, V., Larsen, B., Baker, M. and B. Swanson (2003), Comment on evidence for surface initiated homogeneous nucleation, Atmos. Phys. Chem.,3,1439-1443, doi:10.5194/acp-3-1439-2003

Kay, J. E., Gillespie, A. R., Hansen, G. B., and E. Pettit (2003), Spatial relationships between snow contaminant content, grain size, and surface temperature from multispectral images of Mt. Rainier, Washington (USA), Remote Sensing of Environment, 86:2, 216-231.

Cherkauer, K.A., Burges, S.J. , Handcock, R.N., Kay, J. E., Kampf, S.K. and A.R. Gillespie (2005), Assessing satellite-based thermal-infrared remote-sensing for monitoring Pacific Northwest river temperatures, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41 (5), 1149-1160.

Handcock, R.N., Gillespie, A. R., Cherkauer, K. A., Kay, J. E., S. J. Burges, and S. K. Kampf (2005), Assessing satellite-based thermal-infrared remote-sensing for monitoring Pacific Northwest river temperatures, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41 (5), 1149-1160.

Simonelli, D. P., Kay, J., Adinolfi, D., Veverka, J., Thomas, P. C., and P. Helfenstein (1999), Phoebe: Albedo map and photometric properties, Icarus, 138, 249-258.