Peer-reviewed Publications
In press
Kay, J. E., Deser, C., Phillips, A., Mai, A., Hannay, C., Strand, G.,
Arblaster, J., Bates, S., Danabasoglu, G., Edwards, J., Holland, M.
Kushner, P., Lamarque, J.-F., Lawrence, D., Lindsay, K., Middleton, A.,
Munoz, E., Neale, R., Oleson, K., Polvani, L., and M. Vertenstein
(in press), The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble
Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the
Presence of Internal Climate Variability, Bulletin of the American
Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00255.1.
Matus, A., L'Ecuyer, T., Kay, J. E., Hannay, C. and J-F
Lamarque (in press), The role of clouds in modulating global aerosol
direct effects in spaceborne active observations and the Community
Earth System Model, J. Climate.
2015
Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E., Kay, J. E., and A.
Jahn (2015), Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice
trends, Nature Climate Change, 5, 86-89, doi:10.1038/nclimate2483. Press Release
2014
Kay,
J. E., B. Medeiros, Y.-T. Hwang, A. Gettelman, J. Perket, and M. G.
Flanner (2014), Processes controlling Southern Ocean shortwave climate
feedbacks in CESM, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, doi:10.1002/2013GL058315.
English, J. M., Kay, J. E., Gettelman, A., Liu, X., Wang, Y.,
Zhang, Y. and H. Chepfer, (2014), Contributions of clouds, surface
albedos, and mixed-phase ice nucleation schemes to Arctic radiation
biases in CAM5, J. Climate, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00608.1
Palerme, C., Kay, J. E., Genthon, C., L'Ecuyer, T., Wood, N.
B., and Claud, C. (2014), How much snow falls on the Antarctic ice
sheet?, The Cryosphere, 8, 1577-1587, doi:10.5194/tc-8-1577-2014.
Perket, J., Flanner, M. G. and J. E. Kay (2014), Diagnosing Shortwave
Cryosphere Radiative Effect and 21st Century Evolution in CESM, J.
Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1002/2013JD021139
Tilmes, S., Lamarque, J.-F., Jahn, A., Kay, J. E. and M. Holland
(2014), Can regional climate engineering save the summer Arctic sea
ice?, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1002/2013GL058731
2013
Kay,
J. E. and T. L'Ecuyer (2013), Observational constraints on Arctic Ocean
clouds and radiative fluxes during the early 21st century, J. Geophys.
Res, 118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50489.
Brady, E., Otto-Bliesner, B Kay, J. E., and N. Rosenbloom
(2013), Sensitivity to Glacial Forcing in the CCSM4, J. Climate, 26,
1901–1925, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00416.1.
Gettelman, A., J. E. Kay, J. T. Fasullo (2013), Spatial Decomposition of
Climate Feedbacks in the Community Earth System Model. J. Climate, 26,
3544–3561, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00497.1
Holland, M. M., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, J. Kay, and S. Vavrus
(2013), Initial-value predictability of Antarctic sea ice in the
Community Climate System Model 3, Geophys Res Lett., 40, 2121–2124, doi:10.1002/grl.50410.
Hurrell, J., Holland, M. M., Gent, P. R , Ghan, S., Kay, J. E.,
Kushner, P., Lamarque, J-F., Large, W., G., Lawrence, D., Lindsay, K.,
Lipscomb, W. H., Long, M., Mahowald, N., Marsh, D., Neale, R., Rasch,
P., Vavrus, S., Vertenstein, M., Bader, D., Collins, W. D., Hack, J.
J., Kiehl, J. and S. Marshll (2013), The Community Earth System Model:
A Framework for Collaborative Research, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00121.1
Meehl, G., Washington, W. M., Arblaster, J. M., Hu, A., Teng, H., Kay,
J. E., Gettelman, A., Lawrence, D. M., Sanderson, B. M., and W. G.
Strand (2013), Climate change projections in CESM1(CAM5) compared to
CCSM4, J. Climate, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00572.1
Sand, M., Berntsen, T. K., Kay, J. E., Lamarque, J. F., Seland, Ø., and
A. Kirkevåg (2013), The Arctic response to remote and local forcing
of black carbon, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 211-224, doi:10.5194/acp-13-211-2013.
2012
Kay, J. E., Holland, M. M., Bitz, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth,
E.,Gettelman, A., Conley, A., and D. Bailey (2012), The influence of
local feedbacks and northward heat transport on the equilibrium Arctic
climate response to increased greenhouse gas forcing in coupled climate
models, J. Climate, 25, 5433-5450, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00622.1
Kay, J. E., Hillman, B., Klein, S., Zhang, Y., Medeiros, B., Gettelman,
G., Pincus, R., Eaton, B., Boyle, J., Marchand, R. and T. Ackerman
(2012), Exposing global cloud biases in the Community Atmosphere Model
(CAM) using satellite observations and their corresponding instrument
simulators, J. Climate, 25, 5190-5207, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00469.1
Cesana, G., Kay, J. E., Chepfer, H., English, J.M., and G. de Boer
(2012), Ubiquitous low-level liquid-containing Arctic clouds: New
observations and climate model constraints from CALIPSO-GOCCP, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 39, L20804, doi:10.1029/2012GL053385.
Gettelman, A., Kay, J. E., and K. Shell (2012), The evolution of
climate sensitivity and climate feedbacks in the Community Atmosphere
Model, J. Climate, 25, 1453-1469, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00197.1
de Boer, G., Chapman, W., Kay, J. E., Medeiros, B., and M. D.
Shupe (2012), A characterization of the present-day Arctic atmosphere
in CCSM4, J. Climate, 25, 2676–2695, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00228.1
Jahn, A., K. Sterling, M.M. Holland, J.E. Kay, J.A. Maslanik, C.M.
Bitz, D.A. Bailey, J. Stroeve, E.C. Hunke, W.H. Lipscomb, D.A. Pollak
(2012), Late 20th century simulation of Arctic sea ice and ocean
properties in the CCSM4, J. Climate, 25:5, 1431-1452, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00201.1.
Stroeve, J. C., Serreze, M. C., Holland, M.M., Kay, J. E.,
Meier, W., and A. P. Barrett (2012), The Arctic's rapidly shrinking sea
ice cover: A research synthesis, Climatic Change, 110, 3-4, 1005-1027, doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0101-1
Bromwich, D. H., Nicolas, J. P., Hines, K., Kay, J. E., Key, E.,
Lazzara, M., Lubin, D. McFarquhar, G., Adams, N., Gorodetskaya, I.,
Grosvenor, D. P., Lachlan-Cope, T., and N. Van Lipzig (2012),
Tropospheric clouds in Antarctica, Rev. Geophys., 50, RG1004, doi:10.1029/2011RG000363.
Jochum, M., Jahn, A., Peacock, S., Bailey, D., Fasullo, J., Kay, J. E.,
Levis, S. and B. Otto-Bliesner (2012), True to Milankovitch: Glacial
Inception in the new Community Climate System Model, J. Climate, 25:7,
2226-2239, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00044.1
Raeder, K., Anderson, J. L., Collins, N., Hoar, T. J., Kay, J. E.,
Lauritzen, P. H., and R. Pincus (2012), DART/CAM: An Ensemble Data
Assimilation System for CESM Atmospheric Models, J. Climate, 25,
6304–6317, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00395.1
2011
Kay, J. E., Holland, M. M., and A. Jahn (2011), Inter-annual to
multi-decadal Arctic sea ice extent trends in a warming world, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 38, L15708, doi:10.1029/2011GL048008 NSF press release, favorite
media coverage including the quote "The Arctic's summer ice coverage
could hold its ground or even bounce back slightly, even as global
average temperatures rise. But like a Guns 'n' Roses tour, the comeback
will be short lived and eventually doomed to disappear."
Kay, J. E., Raeder, K., Gettelman, A. and J. Anderson (2011), The
boundary layer response to recent Arctic sea ice loss and implications
for high-latitude climate feedbacks, J. Climate, 24, 428-447, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3651.1
Hwang, Y-T., Frierson, D. W., and J. E. Kay (2011), Coupling between
Arctic feedbacks and changes in poleward energy transport, Geophys.
Res. Lett.,38,L17704, doi:10.1029/2011GL048546
Medeiros, B., Deser, C. ,Tomas, R. A. and J. E. Kay (2011), Arctic
inversion strength in climate models, J. Climate, 24, 4733-4740, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3968.1
2009
Kay, J. E. and A. Gettelman (2009), Cloud influence on and response to
seasonal Arctic sea ice loss, J. Geophys. Res.,114,D18204, doi:10.1029/2009JD011773
Gettelman, A., P. H. Lauritzen, M. Park, and J. E. Kay (2009),
Processes regulating short-lived species in the tropical tropopause
layer, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D13303, doi:10.1029/2009JD011785
2008
Kay, J. E., L'Ecuyer, T., Gettelman, A., Stephens, G., and C. O'Dell
(2008), The contribution of cloud and radiation anomalies to the 2007
Arctic sea ice extent minimum, Geophys. Res. Lett.,35,L08503, doi:10.1029/2008GL033451
Kay, J. E., and R. Wood (2008), Timescale analysis of aerosol
sensitivity during homogeneous freezing and implications for upper
tropospheric water vapor budgets, Geophys. Res. Lett.,35,L10809, doi:10.1029/2007GL032628
Pre-2008
Kay, J. E., Baker, M., and D. Hegg (2007), Physical controls
on orographic cirrus inhomogeneity. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 3771-3781, doi:10.5194/acp-7-3771-2007.
Kay, J. E., Baker, M., and D. Hegg (2006), Microphysical and dynamical
controls on cirrus cloud optical depth distributions, J. Geophys.
Res.,111,D24205, doi:10.1029/2005JD006916
Kay, J. E., Tsemekhman, V., Larsen, B., Baker, M. and B. Swanson
(2003), Comment on evidence for surface initiated homogeneous
nucleation, Atmos. Phys. Chem.,3,1439-1443, doi:10.5194/acp-3-1439-2003
Kay, J. E., Gillespie, A. R., Hansen, G. B., and E. Pettit
(2003), Spatial relationships between snow contaminant content, grain
size, and surface temperature from multispectral images of Mt. Rainier,
Washington (USA), Remote Sensing of Environment, 86:2, 216-231.
Cherkauer, K.A., Burges, S.J. , Handcock, R.N., Kay, J. E., Kampf, S.K.
and A.R. Gillespie (2005), Assessing satellite-based thermal-infrared
remote-sensing for monitoring Pacific Northwest river temperatures,
Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41 (5), 1149-1160.
Handcock, R.N., Gillespie, A. R., Cherkauer, K. A., Kay, J. E., S. J.
Burges, and S. K. Kampf (2005), Assessing satellite-based
thermal-infrared remote-sensing for monitoring Pacific Northwest river
temperatures, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41
(5), 1149-1160.
Simonelli, D. P., Kay, J., Adinolfi, D., Veverka, J., Thomas, P. C.,
and P. Helfenstein (1999), Phoebe: Albedo map and photometric
properties, Icarus, 138, 249-258.
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